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"Rationality" by Steven Pinker (

) brief excerpts with reflections on Ch 5 "Beliefs and Evidence (Bayesian Reasoning)". youtu.be/w_oAgapkAYA Also out as audio-only on all podcast platforms.

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Steven Pinker's "Rationality" Chapter 5 "Beliefs & Evidence (Bayesian...

This chapter continues the themes from Chapter 4 as well as my episode all about probability, risk and Bayesianism found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

7:55 AM · Jul 22, 2022

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Looking forward to this one.

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Review of review: Reviewer guy only wants "rationality" that fits his subjective framework of "objective truth" - think, Laplace & Popper had a baby - secretly hates quantum field theory.

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Why is psychology essentially meme-theory ?

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It’s all theories. The statement “The evidence falsifies X” is not meant to be a claim of certainty. There is a theory that explains *why* (& how) the evidence falsifies X and we are always searching for the best explanation. “Falsification” is a special case of explanation.

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Great video. Q tho isnt using probabilities for things a good pragmatic approach when it comes to forecasting the future? I understand how it's not appropriate for doing science. But thinking of things like forecasting tournaments that tetlock has done?

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