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Timodc's profile
Tim Miller
Tim Miller
Tim Miller
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@Timodc

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Tim MillerVerified account

@Timodc

Writer-At-Large @bulwarkonline | Host "Not My Party" on Snapchat | Political Analyst @msnbc | Formerly beating Trump’s ass with RVAT | Nikola Jokic обожавалац |

Oaktown
story.snapchat.com/p/73a9b955-988…
Joined February 2009

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    1. David Byler‏Verified account @databyler 29 Apr 2020

      some initial thoughts on amash --prob nbd in the end b/c era of low third party voting etc etc --some of his vote would be libertarian oddballs who aren't Ds, Rs --the sort of nevertrump conservative who is v right and loves amash is more common in the press than the electorate

      7 replies 14 retweets 58 likes
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    2. David Byler‏Verified account @databyler 29 Apr 2020

      --closest (v imperfect) analog to nevertrump cons in the electorate is prob romney-clinton types. Ds already nominated biden, who's prob able to keep them --reasonable to start out expecting that a 3rd party con is more likely to take from the R, but open to changing on that

      9 replies 3 retweets 17 likes
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      Tim Miller‏Verified account @Timodc 29 Apr 2020
      Replying to @databyler

      165,000 more people voted libertarian or constitution party in Michigan in 2016 than 2012. Trump won Michigan by 10k. I think you are understating the potential impact and how many of these voters there are who aren’t usual 3rd party gadfly types

      12:53 PM - 29 Apr 2020
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      • The Joey Liverwurst Experience™ Todd Cassan Texas Fight Bryan Rice
      1 reply 1 retweet 6 likes
        1. David Byler‏Verified account @databyler 29 Apr 2020
          Replying to @Timodc

          maybe - wasn't johnson a write-in in MI in 12? makes the comparison a bit harder + there's some evidence that some libertarians aren't normal partisan type voters https://www.huffpost.com/entry/gary-johnson-the-difference-in-michigan-but-no-spoiler_b_58501982e4b017133105145d?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAACwYj2DPW1ki2uUfn1weeWU6-ERKd9D0n6Pf37q6JoT2bApnaanyNjrnpYdhR7QaO4l6YTuwaho0_3NRlmsfKvE2Oltp61PC8KqlbZ90GkUFtXogKwzodb_T4a-rvCgoReIp7wjvxeyWb5Kj87svjAaQ5EqQ1E5qlkDEtUp8ILKU … and amash could end up being a v big deal! my habit is to start skeptical & move if needed

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