A fun exercise I've always used to detect my own bias when I'm undecided about something is "Flip a coin and see if you're mad." I discovered a related trick recently towards figuring out how certain you are of something -- betting odds. Let's apply to, say, Google Stadia 1/X
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I suppose there's that angle, isn't that what Stephen Hawking did with that other guy? "If I'm wrong at least I get a magazine subscription out of the deal"
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Mostly this is just a cheap extension of the coin flip trick, to access a part of my brain that is a liiiittle bit more honest about how sure I really am about something.
End of conversation
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