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TimHarford's profile
Tim Harford
Tim Harford
Tim Harford
Verified account
@TimHarford

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Tim HarfordVerified account

@TimHarford

Writer & Presenter of Cautionary Tales & Fifty Things That Made the Modern Economy; Undercover Economist at the FT; BBC More or Less. Views my own, of course.

Oxford
timharford.com
Joined April 2009

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    Tim Harford‏Verified account @TimHarford Jan 25
    • Report Tweet

    Just re-re-re-reading @PTetlock and @dgardner "Superforecasting". Such a good book - and full of subtleties. Recommended. https://amzn.to/2GquLtq 

    3:08 PM - 25 Jan 2020
    • 8 Retweets
    • 65 Likes
    • Emma Riley Shane Stewart Andrew Bogle Rudi Kochanowski Thomas Newman Murali Veeraiyan John Lyddon David Court j. domenig
    3 replies 8 retweets 65 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. James Elder‏ @jamesofputney Jan 25
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @TimHarford

        I listened to it on audiobook last year and liked it a lot. The only thing that has aged badly is the use of Michael Flynn as a case study!

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Dan Gardner‏ @dgardner Jan 26
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @jamesofputney @TimHarford

        Why? At the time, he had a stellar reputation and we criticized his analysis as poorly informed and extreme. I would have thought that looks rather good in hindsight...

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. 1 more reply
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      2. Jeremiah McGuire‏ @jeremiahfm Jan 25
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @TimHarford @PTetlock @dgardner

        Since you’ve re-re-re- read it :) I’ll recommend Tetlock’s Expert Political Judgment, which is a heavier lift but a tour de force

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Dan Gardner‏ @dgardner Jan 25
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @jeremiahfm @TimHarford @PTetlock

        Indeed. And the gold standard of an academic subjecting his own work to withering criticism and seeing if it stands up.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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