Eric on Twitter

I took population-normalized COVID hospitalizations for the 25 most stringent states on COVID policy in the US (red line), and compared them to the 25 least stringent states (blue line). Trajectory is nearly identical. Both had the same average inpatients per day - 23 per 100k.

6:12 PM · May 6, 2021

Replying to

Hospitalizations peaked for the less-stringent states January 6th, and for the more-stringent states January 7th. Pretty remarkable.

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Eric

@The_OtherET

May 6, 2021

Thanks @a_rozmajzl for the suggestion. twitter.com/a_rozmajzl/sta

This Tweet is unavailable.

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For the people politely asking for top 10/bottom 10/middle 30

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Eric

@The_OtherET

May 6, 2021

Got a lot of requests for a top 10/bottom 10 COVID hospitalization comparison of the most/least stringent states, so here it is. The 10 most and least stringent states both peaked 1/7. Mid stringency 1/10. Most stringent averaged 21 patients/100k per day, least 22, mid 25. twitter.com/The_OtherET/st…

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So you did an average... how about trying 5 most stringent and 5 least stringent. How do you define stringent btw?

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Here is top 10 and bottom 10. The stringency source is on the chart. Their methodology is on the page.

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Eric

@The_OtherET

May 6, 2021

Got a lot of requests for a top 10/bottom 10 COVID hospitalization comparison of the most/least stringent states, so here it is. The 10 most and least stringent states both peaked 1/7. Mid stringency 1/10. Most stringent averaged 21 patients/100k per day, least 22, mid 25. twitter.com/The_OtherET/st…

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Comparisons using a single 'stringency' index are difficult. One qn is what restrictions on interstate travel there were. The effect of local restrictions would be diluted by introduction of infections from states with different restrictions.

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I think restrictions on travel often considered more for non occupational travel, but seems like a huge amount of movement for goods and without which society would start coming apart at the seams.

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Stefan Baral

@sdbaral

Dec 4, 2020

Statistic Worth Considering As of 2006, US transportation industry logged 432.9 billion miles per year or almost 1.2 billion miles travelled per day. During Thanksgiving, truckers logged ~ 6 billion miles delivering food and goods to keep us comfortable truckinfo.net/trucking/stats

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Replying to

And here’s a proxy. NY vs. FL

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These two charts are really great H/T to

@Hold2LLC

who introduced Hope Simpson to the discussion and kept showing its accuracy again and again and again. Making the 'experts' lack of even acknowledging seasonality very telling about their skills/motive

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Might be good to look at bottom 10 vs top 10 too to get rid of any creamy nougat center.

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