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Taniel's profile
Taniel
Taniel
Taniel
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@Taniel

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TanielVerified account

@Taniel

Daniel Nichanian. Criminal justice, voting rights, local politics & elections, political theory.

theappeal.org/political-repo…
Joined July 2008

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    Taniel‏Verified account @Taniel 17 Feb 2020

    Taniel Retweeted Political Polls

    Seems like a good time to remind everyone that Nevada has been one of the states that pollsters have gotten most systematically wrong. In general elections... let alone a caucus. The reminder applies as much to polls that "make sense" as to those that seem to come out of nowherehttps://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1229454250100568066 …

    Taniel added,

    Political Polls @PpollingNumbers
    #NEW #Nevada, Point Blank Political Poll: Steyer 19% Klobuchar 16% Biden 14% Sanders 13% Buttigieg 13% Warren 7% https://www.pointblankpolitical.com/nv-democratic-caucus-2020/ …
    Show this thread
    9:52 AM - 17 Feb 2020
    • 27 Retweets
    • 129 Likes
    • Yaël Mizrahi-Arnaud مزراحي יעל Qualk6 Srishagon Abraham 🏴 Nell Lancaster d👻b Maverick Tommy Miles Emily Lyon #GunReformNow GreatExpectations🇺🇸
    9 replies 27 retweets 129 likes
      1. This Tweet is unavailable.
      2. Joxy‏ @joxyandsuch 17 Feb 2020

        Yep, like 70% white and the majority were over 65 I think.

        0 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
      3. End of conversation
      1. josephcwhite‏ @josephcwhite 17 Feb 2020
        Replying to @Taniel

        josephcwhite Retweeted Polling USA

        https://twitter.com/USA_Polling/status/1229463612265242624?s=20 …

        josephcwhite added,

        Polling USA @USA_Polling
        Age: Under 40: 13.1% Over 41: 86.9% Race: White: 68.9% Hispanic: 17.1% Black: 9% Asian: 2.6% Other: 2.4% Full Methodology: Point Blank Political / February 15, 2020 / n=256 / MOE 5.6% Link: https://www.pointblankpolitical.com/nv-democratic-caucus-2020/ …
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        0 replies 0 retweets 10 likes
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      2. Andrew‏ @Mr__Gone 17 Feb 2020

        Like 50% of those polled were 65+

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      3. End of conversation
      1. This Tweet is unavailable.
      2. Feline‏ @EatingInCommon 17 Feb 2020
        Replying to @MitchMcCuckold @Taniel

        Actually, over 75% were above 50 with 50% being above 65! 🤦🏼‍♀️

        0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
      3. End of conversation
      1. LA‏ @lesaAMOORE 17 Feb 2020
        Replying to @Taniel @rbe_expert

        They’ve polled nearly only the elderly. 5% youth, 49% elderly.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Red Phoenix‏ @Phoe_Red 17 Feb 2020
        Replying to @Taniel

        LOL! That poll's demographics is totally FUBAR!

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. TheProgressiveCynic‏ @jsager99 17 Feb 2020
        Replying to @Taniel

        Yeah, and it is also important to point out that 76% of those polled (with a sample size of only 215) were over 50 and only 16% were Hispanic (compared with 30% of the state). So, this could be an accurate representation of senior white people in Nevada, but not the election.

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. suᴉʞdɯᴉS pɹɐɥɔᴉR‏ @icowrich 17 Feb 2020
        Replying to @jsager99 @Taniel

        Someone should reweight results today 2016 caucus proportions and tell us the result.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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