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T_Inglesby's profile
Tom Inglesby
Tom Inglesby
Tom Inglesby
@T_Inglesby

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Tom Inglesby

@T_Inglesby

Director, Johns Hopkins SPH Center for Health Security, working to protect people from epidemics & disasters. Inf diseases, pub health, research, policy

Baltimore, MD
centerforhealthsecurity.org
Joined April 2014

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    1. Tom Inglesby‏ @T_Inglesby Feb 10

      …6 deaths; 47 discharged; rest still hospitalized. Quite sobering overall, though again we know many mild cases are not getting dx’ed or seen in hosp. https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2761044 … (3/x)

      2 replies . 18 retweets 51 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Tom Inglesby‏ @T_Inglesby Feb 10

      These JAMA stats on HCW infxns are first since early in outbreak when one cluster of HCW infxns was reported. It’s a surprisingly high # of infxns in 1 hospital. Shows transmissibility of virus. Are other Wuhan/Hubei hosps struggling w same # of HCW infxns? (4/x)

      2 replies . 11 retweets 48 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Tom Inglesby‏ @T_Inglesby Feb 10

      In HK there are 36 known nCoV cases, with the HK Centre for Health Protection saying that chances of stopping the spread of virus “depended on how many virus carriers there were who showed little or no symptoms.” https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/health-environment/article/3049749/coronavirus-nine-members-same-family-test … (5/x)

      2 replies . 25 retweets 60 likes
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    4. Tom Inglesby‏ @T_Inglesby Feb 10

      Singapore’s Ministry of Health has clear and current dashboard of its cases https://www.moh.gov.sg/2019-ncov-wuhan  and substantial transparent discussion of local cases https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/wuhan-coronavirus-singapore-virus-new-cases-local-transmission-12390118 … (6/x)

      2 replies . 23 retweets 75 likes
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    5. Tom Inglesby‏ @T_Inglesby Feb 10

      Singapore released superb video of Prime Minster Lee describing current nCoV situation in Singapore. A great example of strong leadership and highly effective communication https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oNw1pyksKHo … (7/x)

      8 replies . 59 retweets 176 likes
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    6. Tom Inglesby‏ @T_Inglesby Feb 10

      Cruise ship off Japan continues to quarantine thousands, w 130 people now w/ nCoV --greatest concentration of persons w nCoV outside of China. This approach is not ethical or effective, passengers should be let off ship and quarantined in another safer location (8/x)

      15 replies . 92 retweets 213 likes
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    7. Tom Inglesby‏ @T_Inglesby Feb 10

      No cases of nCoV in African continues, but there is very little diagnostic testing capacity in Africa. That will change shortly when nCoV diagnostics are distributed to many African countries by WHO. (9/x)

      6 replies . 26 retweets 87 likes
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    8. Tom Inglesby‏ @T_Inglesby Feb 10

      Here are some things we need to learn more about: (10/x)

      1 reply . 10 retweets 39 likes
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    9. Tom Inglesby‏ @T_Inglesby Feb 10

      Still don’t have info on China’s surveillance strategy-what are criteria for testing outside Hubei? What severity of illness is required for testing? Is previous Hubei travel required for a test? How many tests being done a day? This info will help gauge severity et al (11/x)

      2 replies . 20 retweets 82 likes
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    10. Tom Inglesby‏ @T_Inglesby Feb 10

      Still don’t have detailed info on mechanism of spread. Beyond resp droplet spread, is there aerosol or fecal transmission? Any more information on the earlier reports of asymptomatic transmission that was said to have occurred in China (though w/out details provided) (12/x)

      10 replies . 28 retweets 88 likes
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      Tom Inglesby‏ @T_Inglesby Feb 10

      Dep DG of Med Admin of National Health & Family Planning Commission of PRC, Jiao Yahui, said that due to the lack of medical resources, mortality rate in Wuhan has reached 4.9%. Meanwhile, the death rate for China as a whole is said to have remained at a steady 2.1%. (13/x)

      6:39 am - 10 Feb 2020
      • 34 Retweets
      • 86 Likes
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      8 replies . 34 retweets 86 likes
        1. Tom Inglesby‏ @T_Inglesby Feb 10

          Does that mean that in Wuhan some of the deaths have been because there were not enough ventilators or oxygen for the sick? If so, that is important for other governments' planning efforts. (14/x)

          14 replies . 32 retweets 141 likes
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        1. Jasper Nuyens‏ @redstar66 Feb 10
          Replying to @T_Inglesby

          While both curves are exponential, the relative percentage remains the same. Only when the case curve is less than exponential the death rate will start to climb percentage wise. To estimate global mortality, one needs to look at the clinical case studies.

          0 replies . 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. Prepare for disasters NOW #DAT‏ @Monicadisaster1 Feb 10
          Replying to @T_Inglesby

          When are they going to start caravans of patients to other centers surrounding Hubei? It's not right that people are dying due to continued overload. Rhetorical, I know.

          0 replies . 0 retweets 1 like
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        2. Chris Skriver‏ @TheRealSkriver Feb 10
          Replying to @T_Inglesby

          Too steady. The reported CFR has shown no deviation from 2.1. It's hard to believe tbh

          1 reply . 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. 1 more reply
        1. Andrzej Leszkiewicz‏ @avatorl Feb 10
          Replying to @T_Inglesby

          'mortality rate'? what does they mean by 'mortality rate'?

          0 replies . 0 retweets 1 like
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