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New research on behalf of
@38degrees now projects 111 Conservative Seat Losses. What's driving the changes? Investigating using MRP: https://mailchi.mp/survation/new-survation-research-projects-111-conservative-seat-losses …pic.twitter.com/Mnl0Nev7fr
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The survey also asked the public to judge the government’s behaviour using the 7 Nolan principles for standards in public office. Using MRP we can see the effect by constituency, and below, by region.pic.twitter.com/a9x5hbjTIY
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An age effect (older people showing a higher level of concern about standards in public office) is found at the individual level, but even controlling for the age of individual respondents, MRP analysis showed respondents in older areas are more likely to express disapproval.pic.twitter.com/8ynWfm7iMi
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After two weeks of headlines dominated by Downing Street Parties and allegations of sleaze around Owen Paterson and a number of other Conservative figures, these latest numbers reflect an almost total reversal of each main party's fortunes since the end of November.pic.twitter.com/zrCTYRmU98
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Survation. Retweeted
New research on behalf of
@38degrees now projects 111 Conservative Seat Losses. What's driving the changes? Investigating using MRP: https://mailchi.mp/survation/new-survation-research-projects-111-conservative-seat-losses …pic.twitter.com/Mnl0Nev7fr
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Survation. Retweeted
NEW: Polling Nolan principles for
@38_degrees. So far, this monthly tracker has asked 6000+ members of the public to rate the Government, MPs, Boris Johnson, Keir Starmer, Labour & Conservative Parties on Nolan's 7 ethical standards in public life. New December vs Nov ratings:Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Despite their scepticism about MPs in general, the public are more likely to believe than not their own MP upholds the Nolan principles of public life: Full details and data tables including perception of the political parties here: https://survation.com/public-perceptions-of-boris-johnson-in-decline-following-christmas-party-scandals/ ……
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Adding Keir Starmer to the tracker, the public are somewhat more likely to say the Labour Leader upholds the Nolan Principles than the Prime Minister and significantly less likely to say that he does not uphold Nolan principles. They are also more likely to say “don’t know”.pic.twitter.com/OAF44BilSE
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Boris Johnson's 2019 election voters assign a negative rating to the PM for 5 of 7 Nolan principles. Honesty is a stand out. A majority -51% (+8) of CON 2019 voters do not believe the PM upholds the principle. Less than a third -32% (-9 since November) believe the PM *does*.pic.twitter.com/myNVjDRKHI
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On Boris Johnson, 63% (+8) told Survation the PM does not exhibit the principle of leadership. Just 1 in 4, said he does. 1 in 4 (25% -2) believe the PM upholds integrity & only 1 in 5 (20%) believe the PM upholds the principle of honesty, a fall of 5 points from a month ago:pic.twitter.com/Nl6f6CFNBE
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6 in 10 - 61% (+2) of the public now say they do not believe the Government upholds the Nolan principle of integrity. 65% (+3) now say it does not uphold the principle of honesty. (Fieldwork 13-14th December vs 15th November):pic.twitter.com/oHolIKBGpQ
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NEW: Polling Nolan principles for
@38_degrees. So far, this monthly tracker has asked 6000+ members of the public to rate the Government, MPs, Boris Johnson, Keir Starmer, Labour & Conservative Parties on Nolan's 7 ethical standards in public life. New December vs Nov ratings:Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Survation. Retweeted
BREAKING: A majority of Conservative voters now see Boris Johnson as dishonest, as trust in the government declines steeply. That’s the finding of our latest tracking poll on the health of our democracy. Full details →https://home.38degrees.org.uk/2021/12/19/voters-want-honest-leaders-but-feel-let-down-by-the-government/ …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Under a resignation scenario, Rishi Sunak is the most popular choice as a replacement with the public, with 24% choosing the Chancellor. No other candidate stands out particularly for the public on this question. Data tables and details here https://www.survation.com/new-political-polling-shows-a-collapse-in-public-opinion-for-boris-johnson-the-conservative-party-and-government/ …pic.twitter.com/EEokx3UKhp
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57% of the public believe Boris Johnson should resign, 30% that he should not. Nearly a third of those who voted Conservative in 2019 (31%) believe that Johnson should resign and nearly 1 in 5 (19.8%) of those indicating that they would currently vote for the Conservative Party.pic.twitter.com/I2UJfpwloo
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Sir. Keir Starmer has become the preferred candidate with Survation for "best Prime Minister" 39% (+7) for the first time since 6th October 2020. Boris Johnson is (-14) to 30% since October 7th, behind the answer of "don't know" on 31%.pic.twitter.com/K3B3KAA4rA
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Perceived performance of the Government, and favourability of the Conservative Party, and Boris Johnson continue to show declines amongst the public, whereas the Labour Party and Keir Starmer’s ratings have seen improvement.pic.twitter.com/VNYvqm9J4t
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Survation interviewed 1,218 adults online aged 18+ living in the UK between 10th and 11th December 2021.pic.twitter.com/j9o8fTtjKd
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NEW on behalf of
@GMB today: Labour have maintained their recently gained polling lead over the Conservatives at 39%, with the latter polling at 32%, a new low for the party in any Survation polling conducted since Boris Johnson became leader in July 2019.pic.twitter.com/AnynxS78Br
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Survation. Retweeted
1) For the record, I think the 6 point Labour lead we've just published is well founded, judging by the follow-on questions we asked and I wouldn't be surprised to see these types of figures from others into the weekend.
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