This paper claims to show "critical thinking" is more important than IQ in predicting "real-world outcomes". BUT... http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1871187116300384 …
...they never test whether the correlation for critical thinking is stronger than that for IQ. Looking at the 95%CIs, it isn't.pic.twitter.com/1mmue7oxzd
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So claim in the title ("CT is better than IQ") should actually be: "Evidence is consistent with CT and IQ having exactly the same effect".
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Which is, y'know, a bit less exciting.
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Especially when you're publishing in "Thinking Skills and Creativity"
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It's a "creative" interpretation of the evidence.
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I hope you all like my paper, currently under review, on how creativity of researchers (interpreting results) outpredicts IQ for citations
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also, for an open access journal, how ignoring restriction of range leads to more interesting results
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No. CI are of b, not beta. They cannot be compares as you are doing.
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V good point (weird way to report the table!), but CI of the beta overlap substantially as well (just calculated them from the p-values).
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In any case, I really doubt that a hierarchical regression is the correct way to address the question about which is the best predictor.
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Agree 100%!
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is critical thinking an actual genetic trait, or just an aspect of reasoning and processing speed?
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Hard to say much about it because the tests are only just being developed and tried out!
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The CI's are weird, the interval doesn't include beta, the R2 change between M1 and M2 sugests that CT is more "important"? V Unclear TBL...
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Indeed - and there's not much more to go on in the article! At the very least, they didn't test the critical question.
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Otherwise I cannot understand why the point estimate is not included un the CI.
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