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Steve_Sailer's profile
Steve Sailer
Steve Sailer
Steve Sailer
@Steve_Sailer

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Steve Sailer

@Steve_Sailer

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unz.com/isteve
Joined October 2010

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    Steve Sailer‏ @Steve_Sailer Apr 13

    Steve Sailer Retweeted Jasper, Ghost of Culture Wars Past

    It's perhaps not a coincidence that paleogeneticist David Reich's math guy Nick Patterson's two previous careers -- as sort of the Alan Turing of the Cold War as a British spy service codebreaker and then at the Renaissance hedge fund -- were epitomes of Black Boxes.https://twitter.com/jaspergregory/status/985041896228642816 …

    Steve Sailer added,

    Jasper, Ghost of Culture Wars Past @jaspergregory
    Archaeogenetics is a hard field to understand as an outsider. I don't like that their statistical methods are so abstract that i have to take them all at face value
    Show this thread
    11:31 PM - 13 Apr 2018
    • 6 Retweets
    • 24 Likes
    • Komrade J 2.0 dried peanuts Clayton Forrester M. Corcoran DGo sanjaya Siberian Fox Jediphone Neovictorian
    3 replies 6 retweets 24 likes
      1. Nassim Nicholas Taleb‏Verified account @nntaleb Apr 14
        Replying to @Steve_Sailer

        I disagree. Very clear and open. This is peer-review not trading.

        0 replies 1 retweet 8 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Spectral‏ @SpectralTheorem Apr 13
        Replying to @Steve_Sailer

        How is that a criticism, @jaspergregory? If you want to have an opinion on it, do your homework: http://beast.community/hierarchical_models … https://www.medscape.com/medline/abstract/28200071 … (Took me 1 minute to find these.)

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Jasper, Ghost of Culture Wars Past‏ @jaspergregory Apr 14
        Replying to @SpectralTheorem @Steve_Sailer

        So, you think after finding those links you can tell whether a paper is misusing those methods? I am sure that I cannot.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. Spectral‏ @SpectralTheorem Apr 14
        Replying to @jaspergregory @Steve_Sailer

        Not at all! It'd take hundreds of hours of work (at best). But "hard to understand as an outsider" isn't a legit objection in itself, because it applies to any field.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      5. Jasper, Ghost of Culture Wars Past‏ @jaspergregory Apr 14
        Replying to @SpectralTheorem @Steve_Sailer

        Any field with sophisticated statistical methods is going to take a lot of work

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      6. End of conversation
      1. BITFU‏ @BITFU_Inc Apr 14
        Replying to @Steve_Sailer

        Here's a simple statistical model for you: 100% of the time 'abstract statistical methods' result in overfitting. [Unfortunately, 3D multi-variate neural regression 'proves' that simple methods result in underfitting.]

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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