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Cruz would have held serve w/Romney's college whites. NCWs are rightly repelled by Clinton & her policies.
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It would have been tight, but it would not be hopeless. Trump is down 8, and will underperform his polling.
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I'm assuming that Trump will over-perform his polling, as did Brexit.
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Not true. Remain panicked for weeks before Brexit because Leave was winning in many polls.
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Trump underperformed early, over-performed late. A switch happened after WIS that still baffles me.
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It's not about shy voters or whatever here. Primaries are small events lead by motivated activists.
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General elections are events where weaker attached need to be organized to get to the polls.
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What do you think Trump gets, though? Hardly anyone I went to grad school with likes him!
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Your liking Cruz made me lose respect for you.
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The opponent matters. Pretty much anyone other than Trump, including Cruz, would have been at least 50/50 odds vs. HRC
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