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Steve_Sailer's profile
Steve Sailer
Steve Sailer
Steve Sailer
@Steve_Sailer

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Steve Sailer

@Steve_Sailer

America
unz.com/isteve
Joined October 2010

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    1. Steve Sailer‏ @Steve_Sailer Sep 17

      Steve Sailer Retweeted Damon Linker

      Kavanaugh became a national figure in 2011 when he cast dissenting vote in Obamacare appeals court case. He was talked up as a Supreme Court nominee from early 2012. The accuser, although she can't remember year or place, started using his name in 2012 after he'd become famous.https://twitter.com/DamonLinker/status/1041888181778571264 …

      Steve Sailer added,

      Damon LinkerVerified account @DamonLinker
      Replying to @stevenfhayward
      Those were in-the-moment examples. You think this woman, living an entirely different life from 36 years ago, sees BK getting nominated and thinks, "You know, I lived near him as a kid, so I can plausibly lie that he attacked me ad scuttle his nomination"? Seriously, Steve?
      14 replies 100 retweets 263 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Derek‏ @PereGrimmer Sep 17
      Replying to @Steve_Sailer

      She didn't use his name in the 2012 therapy session, per the WaPo account. But it's true she apparently did not begin using it until he got famous.

      1 reply 2 retweets 11 likes
    3. Derek‏ @PereGrimmer Sep 17
      Replying to @PereGrimmer @Steve_Sailer

      Derek Retweeted Derek

      Worth adding that there's a point in the piece where her husband says she feared Kav would be on the Supreme Court. My read through of the initial story is here:https://twitter.com/PereGrimmer/status/1041388625584422912?s=19 …

      Derek added,

      Derek @PereGrimmer
      Hmmmmm. pic.twitter.com/zLSyZYzEA1
      Show this thread
      1 reply 8 retweets 20 likes
      Steve Sailer‏ @Steve_Sailer Sep 18
      Replying to @TaeilEatsBacon @PereGrimmer

      My impression is that the polygraph is basically a scary prop to help intimidate people into cracking under tough questioning. If it were real, you'd hear about advances due to better electronics or new data analyses. But it just seems unchanged from 1935.

      4:29 AM - 18 Sep 2018
      • 6 Likes
      • nagaraj Seamus MC Thomas The Wank Engine Kaiser Söze Derek
      4 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. James R Williamson‏ @jrwill9 Sep 18
          Replying to @Steve_Sailer @TaeilEatsBacon @PereGrimmer

          Sensors for measuring electrical signals from skin (EEG, ECG, GSR, EMG) have been pretty static for decades, other than miniaturization. Even the basic analysis techniques haven’t changed much. So I don’t think this is unique to lie detection.

          2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        3. James R Williamson‏ @jrwill9 Sep 18
          Replying to @jrwill9 @Steve_Sailer and

          The idea behind polygraphs: establish a baseline and look for deviations due to stress; measuring stress from sweat (GSR), HR and BR, sounds reasonable from first principles. Intersubject variability is probably the biggest obstacle.

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        4. Derek‏ @PereGrimmer Sep 18
          Replying to @jrwill9 @Steve_Sailer @TaeilEatsBacon

          Did you look at the article I cited? There is no theoretical construct uniquely linking lying to ANS activation, or differentiating lies from other anxiety sources, and there is no known way to do an adversarial probe. (I can do a Tweet-thread on the evidence if you'd like.)

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        5. James R Williamson‏ @jrwill9 Sep 18
          Replying to @PereGrimmer @Steve_Sailer @TaeilEatsBacon

          I'll have to read it later. I did see in one of the abstracts you cited that while they knocked down exaggerated effect size claims, there still remained small to moderate effect sizes, which would be consistent with moderate accuracy. But I am curious and want to read more.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        6. 2 more replies
        1. Derek‏ @PereGrimmer Sep 18
          Replying to @TaeilEatsBacon @Steve_Sailer

          Long ago I read Elizabeth Loftus's books on false and recovered memories. Back then, I naively thought society would reject stuff like this. I didn't grasp the incentives.

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Derek‏ @PereGrimmer Sep 18
          Replying to @Steve_Sailer @TaeilEatsBacon

          Her lawyer, Katz, likely uses polygraph tests the way many PI lawyers use "soft tissue damage."

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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