Kavanaugh's name was in the national news as of 11/8/2011 when he was on losing side of huge 2-1 Appeals Court decision upholding Obamacare: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-healthcare-court/appeals-court-backs-obama-healthcare-law-idUSTRE7A74PO20111108 … Accuser's husband said she first mentioned Kavanaugh's name in 2012 (but it doesn't appear in therapist notes).
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She didn't use his name in the 2012 therapy session, per the WaPo account. But it's true she apparently did not begin using it until he got famous.
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Worth adding that there's a point in the piece where her husband says she feared Kav would be on the Supreme Court. My read through of the initial story is here:https://twitter.com/PereGrimmer/status/1041388625584422912?s=19 …
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My impression is that the polygraph is basically a scary prop to help intimidate people into cracking under tough questioning. If it were real, you'd hear about advances due to better electronics or new data analyses. But it just seems unchanged from 1935.
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Sensors for measuring electrical signals from skin (EEG, ECG, GSR, EMG) have been pretty static for decades, other than miniaturization. Even the basic analysis techniques haven’t changed much. So I don’t think this is unique to lie detection.
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The idea behind polygraphs: establish a baseline and look for deviations due to stress; measuring stress from sweat (GSR), HR and BR, sounds reasonable from first principles. Intersubject variability is probably the biggest obstacle.
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Did you look at the article I cited? There is no theoretical construct uniquely linking lying to ANS activation, or differentiating lies from other anxiety sources, and there is no known way to do an adversarial probe. (I can do a Tweet-thread on the evidence if you'd like.)
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I'll have to read it later. I did see in one of the abstracts you cited that while they knocked down exaggerated effect size claims, there still remained small to moderate effect sizes, which would be consistent with moderate accuracy. But I am curious and want to read more.
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People behave in inscrutable ways daily. If incentives and desires were always obvious, we would all be much better at predicting the behavior of our fellow humans. Damon clearly lacks imagination.
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It could not be true and also not be a lie. Memory is full of tricks, and a bit of gap-filling shaped through therapeutic suggestion and a broader external narrative is not without precedent.
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Why does Linker think his scenario is not plausible? There's nothing inherent in the situation to prevent her from inventing a story to derail his nomination.
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Likely retrofit as this gives repeat of victim as origin durin marr couns Visiting same area 8 years apart with diff partners convinced I'd been in 1place with partnerA but exam of digital foto timing showed must hav been partnerB U can work yr own imagination into event in30+
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started using his name in 2018*
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Also, her parents' mid-90s legal troubles in a case presided over by Kavanaugh's mother may have served to keep recollection of the acquaintance going.
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This chick is looking Jackie Coakley crazy.
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@CaitlinPacific believes her though.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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