There’s actually no secret sauce. The Trump strategy is virtually the only strategy for Rs. You have to win Ohio and FL and then pick off one or two Midwestern states depending how CO, NH and NV go.
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Didn’t that guy still call the election wrong?
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On the night before the election, he had Trump's odds at roughly thirty percent (plus or minus three, I forget exactly what the number was). As far as anyone knows, he was right!
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This is proof the Russians have been undermining our democracy since late 2000!
#Resist - 1 more reply
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Should not have to worry about ethnicity. If you talk policy that should be it. Truth is most have established party ID from parents.
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You're writing a book about this, right?
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You had an article on
@vdare about this, didn't you? Mind posting it for us?
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Nate's real contribution was pointing out in 2008 that if 32 polls all showed Obama +2 that did not really mean the race was a tossup. His mistake in 2016 was being blind to the idea that turnout is endogenous.
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I cannot imagine what his motives could have been....
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Propriety data? Does he mean proprietary, or did I miss something?
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Also, I wonder if Asians will become more receptive to the GOP's message if it will be proven that racial and ethnic IQ gaps are genetic. After all, the GOP is more hostile to affirmative action than the Dems are.
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It's quite amazing, isn't it? Gore won the PV by 0.5% and won MI, WI, and PA. Kerry lost the PV by 2.5% and won all three of these states. Hillary won the PV by 2.0% and lost all three of these states!
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