Steve Kornacki

@SteveKornacki

National Political Correspondent for NBC News and MSNBC. My book, The Red and the Blue, is available now. Instagram: steve01450

New York
barnesandnoble.com/w/the-red-and-…
Registrerte seg juni 2009
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  1. 15. sep.

    With 70% counted, total votes cast in: Recall election: 9,137,428 ("No" leads by 27.8 points) Replacement election: 5,064,907 (GOP-affiliated candidates with 68.3% of vote, Dems 27.9%, Others 3.8%)

    23 svar 49 retweets 568 liker
    Angre
  2. 15. sep.

    Just about all of the early-arriving (pre-Election Day) mail-in ballots, in-person early votes, and in-person Election Day votes have been counted in CA, with "No" up by 27.8 points. At this same point of the count in '20, Biden was up by 32.6 and his final margin was 29.1.

    9 svar 26 retweets 347 liker
    Angre
  3. 15. sep.

    Here are counties that are 45%+ Hispanic -- "No" is running below Newsom's '18 level in some of them, but it's not uniform across the board

    5 svar 9 retweets 104 liker
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    Angre
  4. 15. sep.

    With the exception of tiny Alpine (pop. 1,200), "No" is running above Newsom's '18 level in the counties with the highest concentration of white college+ voters

    7 svar 19 retweets 203 liker
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    Angre
  5. 15. sep.

    With ~70% counted in CA, the margin for "No" looks like it will be similar to Gavin Newsom's margin when he was elected in 2018. But at least in the exit poll, the composition of his coalition is different:

    107 svar 176 retweets 1 360 liker
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    Angre
  6. 15. sep.

    This may end up with a double-digit polling miss after all

    116 svar 239 retweets 4 509 liker
    Angre
  7. 15. sep.

    The mail ballot batches reported out first mostly came in before Election Day and should be the most Democratic/Newsom-friendly. But the shift from these initial votes to the final result in most counties wasn't too dramatic in '20, with Biden's % generally dropping ~5 points.

    17 svar 46 retweets 693 liker
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    Angre
  8. 15. sep.

    We'll get a very clear picture of CA very quickly after poll closing, with most counties reporting most of their mail vote right away. By 11:25 EST last November we had big batches from San Mateo (60% of total vote), Merced (64%), Ventura (74%), LA (54%), San Diego (69%) and more

    118 svar 409 retweets 3 516 liker
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    Angre
  9. 14. sep.

    It’s been a while but I’m ready to go. CA reports a ton of mail votes out quickly, so the board should be lighting up like a Christmas tree not long after 11pm EST tonight. Hope you’ll join us!

    173 svar 310 retweets 3 101 liker
    Angre
  10. 14. sep.

    A week after his defeat in the 1996 presidential election, Bob Dole meets the man who portrayed him on Saturday Night Live, Norm MacDonald

    98 svar 1 354 retweets 11 159 liker
    Angre
  11. 14. sep.

    20 years ago today: President George W. Bush uses a bullhorn to address rescue workers, firefighters and police officers at Ground Zero. When someone shouts that they can't hear him, he breaks from his script and improvises:

    12 svar 44 retweets 269 liker
    Angre
  12. 14. sep.

    100 years ago in North Dakota, Gov. Lynn Frazier was recalled from office, something that wouldn't happen to a governor again until 2003 in California and that hasn't happened since

    4 svar 23 retweets 152 liker
    Angre
  13. 14. sep.

    At 11:48 PM EST on October 7, 2003 -- during the commercial break after Jay Leno's Tonight Show monologue -- Tom Brokaw informed viewers that NBC was projecting a "total recall" of California Gov. Gray Davis:

    5 svar 28 retweets 191 liker
    Angre
  14. 13. sep.

    Recall Eve '03: Will the multiple accusations of groping against Arnold Schwarzenegger that have dominated the final week of the campaign be enough to save Gov. Gray Davis from being ousted?

    22 svar 48 retweets 227 liker
    Angre
  15. 11. sep.

    We were driving in Ohio and turned on the radio and I thought it must be some hoax. From there, I remember the shock that it was happening, the sadness as we learned the stories, the dread that there’d be more to come, and finally the resolve and pride in country that we all felt

    14 svar 44 retweets 1 194 liker
    Angre
  16. 10. sep.

    And here are the final 40 seconds -- between 8:50 and 8:51 AM, during an interview with Richard Hack, whose new book on Howard Hughes was launching that morning -- right before Today, and the world, was interrupted by the news of the first plane:

    6 svar 29 retweets 207 liker
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    Angre
  17. 10. sep.

    And here's the start of the 8AM hour of Today on Tuesday, September 11. 46 minutes later and five miles south of Rockefeller Center, the first plane would hit:

    22 svar 66 retweets 437 liker
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    Angre
  18. 10. sep.

    NBC Nightly News from Monday, September 10, 2001: The last look at a world that would change forever in about 12 hours

    17 svar 268 retweets 1 490 liker
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    Angre
  19. 10. sep.

    The full poll is here, btw:

    2 svar 7 retweets 30 liker
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    Angre
  20. 10. sep.

    My own sense for whatever it’s worth is that like immigration and guns and so many other issues, there’s probably a lot of complexity, inconsistency and contradictions in public opinion on this, and the political implications may not be as obvious as poll numbers can suggest.

    24 svar 28 retweets 341 liker
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