Steve Fisher

@StephenDFisher

Associate Professor of political sociology, Trinity College, University of Oxford. Election forecasting and analysis at

Oxford, UK
users.ox.ac.uk/~nuff0084/
Joined September 2010
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  1. Retweeted
    16 hours ago

    Today marks the start of . Over 350 speakers will share the latest climate change and policy research in the run up to . Listen out for on Wednesday discussing the

    Looking forward to speaking about on Wednesday afternoon at this ...
    1 retweet 3 likes
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  2. May 15

    Looking forward to speaking about on Wednesday afternoon at this ...

    Next week marks the start of 📢 350+ speakers 🗣️ 5 days, 5 themes 💬Join us for this special fusion of and in the run up to , and help advance a resilient, zero-carbon world 🌏 Register via ➡️
    1 like
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  3. Retweeted
    May 14

    If you think some sort of electoral pact by the UK's 'progressive parties' might be the answer to Conservative hegemony this, by , on how little good they did anyone in 2019, should provide pause for thought - although obviously 2019 isn't 2023.

    8 replies 7 retweets 11 likes
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  4. Retweeted
    May 14

    Public support for climate action ✅ Feat. , , , and . 15:15-16:15 BST | 19 May | Part of day | Register via ➡️

    , , and 2 others
    1 reply 4 retweets 4 likes
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  5. Retweeted
    May 12

    4. Right I won't do the Oscars speech stuff now about wonderful team and writers because—though true!—I'm full on editing for another few months, so not the time But DO please get in touch if any Qs about the Prospect job, and share widely

    8 replies 2 retweets 15 likes
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  6. Retweeted
    May 12

    While some pollsters showed a late swing to Labour ahead of elections last week, YouGov recorded no change to our headline figures: a 10pt Con lead. As writes, we did notice a sizeable shift in vote intention among the highly politically engaged.

    Stories about the PM's flat refurbishment costs and 'bodies piled high' comments did affect voting intention - but only among the most politically engaged High engagement Con 33% (-13 vs 22 Apr) Lab 38% (+6) Low/med engagement Con 46% (+3) Lab 31% (-4)
    1 reply 2 retweets 4 likes
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  7. Retweeted
    May 12

    This is all the more interesting in the light of ’s forensic analysis showing just how important the splintering of progressive forces proved to be at the local elections

    These new times demand a new politics. Here are the 6 key elements of progressive transformation ⁦⁩ ⁦⁩ ⁦⁩ ⁦⁩
    2 replies 1 retweet 6 likes
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  8. Retweeted
    May 11

    Thurs, 6pm hosting Prof Sir John Curtice on ‘The 2021 Scottish Election: What Happened – And What Might Happen Next?’ public lecture - all welcome! Register now: …… @ScotVoting

    3 replies 6 retweets 8 likes
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  9. Retweeted
    May 10

    People are now more likely to vote Labour if they are middle class than if they are working class. My analysis of the Great Class Inversion

    43 replies 80 retweets 232 likes
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  10. Retweeted
    May 10

    Busting a 'Blue Wall' myth - it is not true that these areas suffer from an 'exodus of youth' to the cities. In fact, as our research shows, relatively few people, of any age, leave or move to 'Blue Wall' areas. Read this report by

    11 retweets 10 likes
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  11. Retweeted
    May 10

    Elections reflected Britain’s deep divisions over Brexit and Scotland’s future

    1 reply 2 retweets 1 like
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  12. Retweeted
    May 10

    “Scottish elections: what happened – and what comes next?” — studded with jewels from the surveys. via

    13 retweets 33 likes
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  13. Retweeted
    May 9

    This is classic electoral manipulation, a la Orbán. But, the fact that Labour do so much better under the Supplementary Vote than under FPTP does illustrate how a “progressive alliance” could beat the Conservatives.

    7 replies 45 retweets 107 likes
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  14. Retweeted
    May 9

    A wee peek at the performance of the Green Party of England & Wales in the local elections — featuring , , , , Professor Sir John Curtice, &

    22 replies 49 retweets 125 likes
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  15. Retweeted
    May 9

    This is great & I agree with the reccs on building a new electoral coalition. One reason are doing so well with well-educated, indebted, home-renters, is bc Labour are mistakenly seeing homeowning "white working class" archetypes as the (only) "losers of globalisation"

    In the , and I argue that Labour's crisis needs to be understood within the broader socio-structural changes that affect all of Europe's social democratic parties. It's misguided to only focus on the loss of working class voters.
    1 reply 5 retweets 20 likes
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  16. Retweeted
    May 10

    A reminder, as government plans for photo ID at elections resurface, that people with existing forms of photo ID are more likely to vote Conservative, and people without photo ID heavily skew Labour

    NEW: & I looked at possible impacts of the govt’s proposal to require photographic voter ID In the 2017 election, people with driving licences were disproportionately likely to vote Conservative, while those without a licence skewed Labour
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    40 replies 514 retweets 909 likes
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  17. Retweeted
    May 9

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 MAYORS London: LAB HOLD Bristol: LAB HOLD Cam & P'boro: LAB GAIN Doncaster: LAB HOLD Greater Manchester: LAB HOLD Liverpool City: LAB HOLD Liverpool City R: LAB HOLD North Tyneside: LAB HOLD Tees Valley: CON HOLD West Mid: CON HOLD WoE: LAB GAIN West Yorks: LAB GAIN (new)

    49 replies 370 retweets 942 likes
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  18. Retweeted
    May 9

    NEW: All of the English Council Results are now in The final tallies CON: 2,341 councillors (+235)/ 63 councils (+13) LAB: 1,339 councillors (-322)/ 44 councils (-8) LIB DEM: 586 councillors (+8)/ 7 councils (+1) GREEN: 151 councillors (+88)/ 0 councils (-)

    85 replies 409 retweets 970 likes
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  19. Retweeted
    May 10

    ICYMI: On the challenge that the outcome of has presented .

    1 reply 7 retweets 9 likes
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  20. Retweeted
    May 9

    KEY ENGLAND ELECTION TAKEAWAYS (thread) 1) Brexit realignment continues 2) Tory Party now hegemonic in much of England. 3) Elections put pay to the theory that Labour's problems were just about Corbyn. 4) Greens on the rise.

    144 replies 535 retweets 2,280 likes
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