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To improve our collective level of rationality, maybe what's most important isn't to learn sophisticated concepts and debiasing techniques, but to apply much simpler techniques that we always knew more consistently. https://www.facebook.com/stefan.schubert.3954/posts/1325619184305135 …pic.twitter.com/8iGztccrsd
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Interesting: paper finds that people who are prosocial in a dictator game are also more universalist and more willing to compromise. One might argue they are prosocial across the board. A bit reminiscent of the finding that different cognitive abilities are positively correlatedhttps://twitter.com/patilindrajeets/status/1224237669712039936 …
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Stefan Schubert proslijedio/la je Tweet
Nature just published a comment by
@Peters_Glen and I pointing out that the high-emissions RCP8.5 emissions scenario – with its 500% increase in coal use by 2100 – is increasingly unlikely in a world of falling clean energy prices. https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-00177-3 … A thread: 1/11pic.twitter.com/Z9nJR12JWo
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Expert review of AI alignment work 2018-2019 - three versions, between 700 words and 8300 words.https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/dKxX76SCfCvceJXHv/ai-alignment-2018-19-review …
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"The additional funding of up to £300 million will more than double the current funding for the mathematical sciences " It includes applied research, such as weather forecasting and medical research. https://epsrc.ukri.org/newsevents/news/major-funding-boost-for-mathematical-sciences/?fbclid=IwAR3lppSgAnHsD2yoSSqSnBL7BbMZM6nIS5dR4YOZecAm-3CVF5SITihIquE …
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Giving more status to what's intrinsically enjoyable has the upside that it'll make us do what's intrinsically enjoyable. But as stated, that might increase overall life satisfaction inequality. Cf. how capitalism can increase overall output at the price of less equality.https://twitter.com/StefanFSchubert/status/1222175867855605761 …
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In the former case, our status practices is a leveller, since those with high status get less intrinsic enjoyment. In the latter case, those practices rather exacerbate inequality, since then high status and having more intrinsically enjoyable things go together.https://twitter.com/StefanFSchubert/status/1222174426457956353 …
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People often point out that status and intrinsic enjoyment can be opposed (cf. some modern art, demanding religious practices). But often, having something intrinsically enjoyable (e.g. a beautiful item or partner) rather increases status, because what's enjoyable is coveted.
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On the trade-off between longterm reversibility and persistence, specifically regarding animal welfare interventions.https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/KKcCKrMsQHRCWib2Q/persistence-and-reversibility-long-term-design-1 …
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A corollary of this is that readers should read tweets differently from how they would read other texts. They should take into account that the tweeter may have had to cut out caveats and nuances for space reasons.https://twitter.com/StefanFSchubert/status/1222105993234014213 …
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Twitter makes me realise how important additional clarifications are (examples, caveats, etc). You have to be briefer than you otherwise would be, and in my experience that greatly increases how much people misunderstand you.
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Stefan Schubert proslijedio/la je Tweet
Authors sometimes switch between an "author-we" and a "we-as-humanity" (or "we-as-compatriots"). E.g. "we [the authors] show what the true source of our [humanity's] sins is" *If* you've noticed such switches in articles and books, do you think that's a problem?
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Authors sometimes switch between an "author-we" and a "we-as-humanity" (or "we-as-compatriots"). E.g. "we [the authors] show what the true source of our [humanity's] sins is" *If* you've noticed such switches in articles and books, do you think that's a problem?
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"Philosophy is explicitness, generality, orientation and assessment. That of which one would insinuate, thereof one must speak."
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As Ernest Gellner points out in *Words and Things*, people only "insinuate" that some view is wrong without giving explicit and specific arguments. An evasive tactic, which often uses guilt-by-association. Arguments saying some view is mere "virtue-signalling" are often like that
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Over- or underrating oneself (e.g. re competence, charisma, appearance) need not be due to a bias for or against oneself in particular. It may be that one has an unrelated preference for or against some general feature (e.g. eloquence, grace, pimples) that one happens to have.
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@metaculus it would be great if you provided more brief and easily accessible summaries of results of past predictions, lessons we can draw from your work, etc. You seem to have a lot of interesting data and it's a bit of a shame that not more people know about it.Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Michael Huemer attacks Karl Popper's philosophy of science.http://fakenous.net/?p=1239&fbclid=IwAR3qmLxMLyaLSytn4D6amE_adVkjZApHE1JSop_82d1DBYDN2FD6Qr5YBW0 …
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Paul Christiano on "moral public goods" - when the better-off are willing to share their resources with the worse-off provided the other better-off also do that. https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/pqKwra9rRYYMvySHc/moral-public-goods …pic.twitter.com/5STGt4OB5b
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Useful practical advice on how to give and organise virtual talks.https://twitter.com/russpoldrack/status/1220844558054907905 …
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