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StatModeling's profile
Andrew Gelman
Andrew Gelman
Andrew Gelman
@StatModeling

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Andrew Gelman

@StatModeling

andrewgelman.com
Joined November 2010

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    Andrew Gelman‏ @StatModeling May 8
    • Report Tweet
    • Report NetzDG Violation

    “So the real scandal is: Why did anyone ever listen to this guy?” https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/05/08/so-the-real-scandal-is-why-did-anyone-ever-listen-to-this-guy/ …

    6:27 AM - 8 May 2020
    • 13 Retweets
    • 47 Likes
    • John Mauer Rowan P. Clarke господин медвежонок (λ --- --. .. -.-.)³ Juanjo Medina Craig Eby Llewelyn Ward Rob Bird Ehud Lamm إيهود
    11 replies 13 retweets 47 likes
      1. Harald R‏ @Harald4Tweet May 8
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        Replying to @StatModeling

        Indeed, why does anybody listen to this Fund guy...

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1.  🍀 correct the record‏ @LydiaManiatis May 8
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        Replying to @StatModeling

        Because statisticians have convinced everyone that correlation-fishing is a substitute for science, and that the chronic replication crises will be fixed by fancier, non-valid, non-empirical fishing methods.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. New conversation
      2. Protik Islam-Jakobsson‏ @ikitorp May 8
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        Replying to @StatModeling

        I'm finding it extremely difficult to believe anyone predicted any substantial number of people would die during the 2001 foot-and-mouth epizootic, and even more difficult to believe that anything close to 200 people died. Is it possible Fund has gotten his outbreaks confused?

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Protik Islam-Jakobsson‏ @ikitorp May 8
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        Replying to @ikitorp @StatModeling

        Because animal FMD doesn't really kill humans. Afaict, Fund is misrepresenting Ferguson's statements re. vCJD as well: https://www.nature.com/articles/nature709/ …—50k deaths by 2080 is estimate for worst case scenario w/out interventions, rising to 150k if sheep also prominent vector for human inf.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Andrea Valdroni‏ @valdra76 May 8
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        Replying to @StatModeling

        Maybe becuase his institution is financed by a famous computer vendor?

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      1. Janet Rosenbaum‏ @janetrosenbaum May 8
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        Replying to @StatModeling

        University reputation is a big factor!

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      1. David K Park‏ @davidchungpark May 8
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        Replying to @StatModeling

        We need a trusted advisor certification for the media ; ) “When Ferguson was in the news a few months ago, why wasn’t there more discussion of his atrocious track record? Or was his track record not so bad?”

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      2. Linch‏ @LinchZhang May 8
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        Replying to @StatModeling

        I'm pretty confused about why Fund thought this would be evidence. Here's the structure of the argument so far: For i from 1 to 5: (In X_i year, Ferguson predicted an upper bound of Y_i people will die. Less than Y_i people died}. Thus Ferguson is WRONG!!11!!!

        3 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
      3. Vidur Kapur‏ @vidur_kapur May 8
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        Replying to @LinchZhang @StatModeling

        Yep.pic.twitter.com/Nxt4hNQas7

        1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
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      2. L.D.N. Junk Esq.‏ @ldnjunk May 8
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        Replying to @StatModeling

        This is definitely the sign of a serious article 🙄pic.twitter.com/4XJNvTmKY6

        2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Mezclado, no agitado‏ @MzcldNoAgtd May 8
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        Replying to @ldnjunk @StatModeling

        Yeah, in the comments one addresses that regarding mad cows he said 50 to 50000. So basically is this option. Unless proven otherwise.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. End of conversation

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