When England fail to score against Belgium will be a classic case of "regression towards mediocrity" as Galton originally called it.
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In 2001, I looked at this topic in terms of the effectiveness of Unicorn milk for having effects on human circadian rhythms :)https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1081/CBI-100107977 …
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In retrospect, my tweet was poorly phrased wasn’t it? But there’s a good chance my next tweet will be improved :)
End of conversation
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Campbell and Kenny go through lots of nice examples in their book. One unhappy take home is that adjustment for bias may not work, or at least not as we expect. https://www.guilford.com/books/A-Primer-on-Regression-Artifacts/Campbell-Kenny/9781572308596 …
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"But the kids who initially were the best benefited less from the change." Often the description on the news is enough to immediately suspect problems, but people keep on making the regression to the mean mistake.https://twitter.com/StatModeling/status/1010881471978995714 …
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And stiff necked researchers: “we thank the journal for the opportunity for doubling down on our original conclusions”
@StatModelinghttps://twitter.com/StatModeling/status/1010881471978995714 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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