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St_Rev's profile
St. Rev ☯️🏴😻
St. Rev ☯️🏴😻
St. Rev  ☯️ 🏴 😻
@St_Rev

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St. Rev  ☯️ 🏴 😻

@St_Rev

Anti-authoritarian, bleeding-heart Stirnerite, ☯️. Banned in Sweden. SubGenius, Zhuangist, white-hat troll. Defrocked mathematician. Brain problems.

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Joined May 2011

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    1. St. Rev  ☯️ 🏴 😻‏ @St_Rev 28 Aug 2017
      • Report Tweet

      St. Rev  ☯️ 🏴 😻 Retweeted Patrick S. Tomlinson

      Siiiigh. Major coastal metroplexes in US: New York-Newark Los Angeles-San Diego Houston San Francisco-San Jose Jacksonville Seattle...https://twitter.com/stealthygeek/status/901885696075542531 …

      St. Rev  ☯️ 🏴 😻 added,

      Patrick S. Tomlinson @stealthygeek
      Katrina was called a 100 yr Storm. Sandy was called a 100 yr Storm. Now Harvey is a 500 yr Storm. They were all in the last twelve years.
      3 replies 3 retweets 12 likes
    2. St. Rev  ☯️ 🏴 😻‏ @St_Rev 28 Aug 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @St_Rev

      Miami-West Palm Beach New Orleans Greater DC Hawaii Anchorage Tampa ...ok tired of listing examples! Century storms hit ~20% of all years.

      1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
    3. St. Rev  ☯️ 🏴 😻‏ @St_Rev 28 Aug 2017
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      Replying to @St_Rev

      This isn't climate change. This is ordinary weather striking random parts of _the continent of North America_, which is _extremely large_.

      5 replies 3 retweets 8 likes
    4. hikikomorphism 🏳️‍🌈 🏝 🛰️‏ @hikikomorphism 28 Aug 2017
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      Replying to @St_Rev

      And/or climate change is increasing the likelihood of previously-rare freak weather events

      3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    5. St. Rev  ☯️ 🏴 😻‏ @St_Rev 28 Aug 2017
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      Replying to @hikikomorphism

      Not happening. Hurricane frequency is actually down pretty sharply in recent years.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    6. hikikomorphism 🏳️‍🌈 🏝 🛰️‏ @hikikomorphism 28 Aug 2017
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      Replying to @St_Rev

      I'm not just talking about hurricanes, a few years back Boston had a winter that broke all recorded snowfall records. More outliers recently

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    7. St. Rev  ☯️ 🏴 😻‏ @St_Rev 28 Aug 2017
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      Replying to @hikikomorphism

      Multiply the number of major metroplexes in the US by the number of extreme weather events that can happen to them.

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    8. hikikomorphism 🏳️‍🌈 🏝 🛰️‏ @hikikomorphism 28 Aug 2017
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      Replying to @St_Rev

      seems like you'd need a dataset of weather events to actually do this. Any suggestions? I'd rather not skim wikipedia and estimate.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      St. Rev  ☯️ 🏴 😻‏ @St_Rev 28 Aug 2017
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      Replying to @hikikomorphism

      Just as a fermi calculation: say there are 50 major metropolitan areas in the US, and 4 extremes that can happen a year.

      9:26 AM - 28 Aug 2017
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. St. Rev  ☯️ 🏴 😻‏ @St_Rev 28 Aug 2017
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          Replying to @St_Rev @hikikomorphism

          Extreme heat, extreme cold, disaster 1, disaster 2, where disaster = {earthquake, tornados, hurricane, flooding, volcano, etc.}

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. St. Rev  ☯️ 🏴 😻‏ @St_Rev 28 Aug 2017
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          Replying to @St_Rev @hikikomorphism

          Then one expects two once-in-a-century events per year, and one once-in-a-millennium event every 5 years.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. hikikomorphism 🏳️‍🌈 🏝 🛰️‏ @hikikomorphism 28 Aug 2017
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          Replying to @St_Rev

          If the rate at which such events occur globally hasn't changed significantly over the last century then concern is likely overblown

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        5. St. Rev  ☯️ 🏴 😻‏ @St_Rev 28 Aug 2017
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          Replying to @hikikomorphism

          The only research I am aware of on the subject concluded that there is no upward trend in disaster intensity, only value at risk.

          2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        6. St. Rev  ☯️ 🏴 😻‏ @St_Rev 28 Aug 2017
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          Replying to @St_Rev @hikikomorphism

          eg: weather damage trends are entirely driven by economic expansion in threatened zones like coastlines.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        7. End of conversation

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