FWIW, I think your points are fair but do not constitute a "debunk." The death rate and arbitrary end-point issues are totally legit critiqs
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Replying to @puckthecat1 @St_Rev and
The base rate issue is less persuasive. First, why is the base rate the key question? Plenty of significance to the absolute numbers
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Replying to @puckthecat1 @St_Rev and
Second, you're playing your own statistical games in your calculations, adjusting the pop to exaggerate your argument.
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If you mean the relative population figures, it's a low-quality Fermi estimate, but not gaming.
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Replying to @St_Rev @puckthecat1 and
Some points I raise should have been presented _alongside_ the ones NYT used. That's one set of issues. Base rate & absolute both matter.
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Replying to @St_Rev @puckthecat1 and
Other points go to the validity or lack thereof of the underlying data set--like saying 'since 9/11' when they mean 'since 9/12'.
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I agree that it's a more complete picture with your numbers. But I think calling that a "debunking" just misunderstands how advocacy works.
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Replying to @puckthecat1 @St_Rev and
Making shit up isn't advocacy, it's lies. Counting a trash fire or the opening of a gate on a mink farm as a "terror attack" is bullshit.
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Replying to @Recursion_Agent @asherahresearch and
So I read through OP's tweets. He didn't say the number was "made up." He said "here are some other true things that support diff conclusio"
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Replying to @puckthecat1 @asherahresearch and
Tweets 2, 8, 9, 10 specifically bear on things being made up. This would be clear if you read the report.
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Anyway I'm muting this thread now.
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. Banned in Sweden. SubGenius, Zhuangist, white-hat troll. Defrocked mathematician. Brain problems.