There are many other arguments that I would counter differently.
I'm specifically criticizing Nate Silver's "$300 billion" argument as advanced by Scott in http://slatestarcodex.com/2016/09/28/ssc-endorses-clinton-johnson-or-stein/ …
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. Banned in Sweden. SubGenius, Zhuangist, white-hat troll. Defrocked mathematician. Brain problems.