This is analogous to the Hayekian information argument about trying to beat the market, although there's no price signal in sight. 6/
-
-
My personal interest stems from being a severely disabled sperg who desperately wants, like Pinnochio, to be a real live boy
-
If my viewpoints are of interest to others, cool, but I would never enforce them (except as regards cat welfare) on others.
-
Oh, and I do offer a lot of opinions of the form "this is hurting people, stop it". Guilty.
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
I'm not sure how you can claim both a political efficient market hypothesis, and criticize some people for hurting others needlessly
-
It sounds like you think you have more than zero information about whether that's a good idea.
-
Let's be clear about which problem we're addressing. I have a two-pronged critique of the Nate Silver doctrine:
-
1) As framed, it fails bc you should have very low confidence in your beliefs about global welfare *if a vote is 50-50*.
-
2) If you punt to a calculation on local welfare, you don't get a $300B denominator to offset 1/60M odds.
-
You might know, with some reliability, that Hillary's worth $1M to you personally. Expected value still < 2 cents.
-
This is all an entirely separate matter from my claim that voting is itself immoral, which I am not pretending to justify.
-
https://twitter.com/slatestarcodex/status/788119722340548608 … We're not arguing about whether to vote *on whether to vote*. You're the guy who hates meta, yeah?
- 2 more replies
New conversation -
-
-
And isn't even "This is hurting people" a claim to unique knowledge when so many other smart people don't think so or care?
-
If I have a nail in my foot, it's on me to bring this to the attention of others. Difference between local and global.
-
The global orientation is nearly always delusional. Transmitting local information "this is something I see" is not.
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
So you should at least vote for someone who promises to ban voting
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
But doesn't even non-binding advice suggest you think you have more than zero information?
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.
. Banned in Sweden. SubGenius, Zhuangist, white-hat troll. Defrocked mathematician. Brain problems.