I need to think about it more carefully myself, but I think a full answer on my end would require finishing a lot of...
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Replying to @St_Rev @DanielPryorr
...the twelve-post series on local-global problems in epistemology that I'll never finish. https://carcinisation.com/2014/08/02/local-and-global-and-the-terrible-telescope-part-1/ …
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Replying to @St_Rev @DanielPryorr
Ultracompact version: I think it's wrong, in considering a problem with such overpowering framing difficulties...
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Replying to @St_Rev @DanielPryorr
...to match an individual determination & action (choosing to vote) with a distributed global outcome.
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Replying to @St_Rev @DanielPryorr
The correct *question* is "what is the expected outcome *to me*", in part because your "to me" is where your knowledge...
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Replying to @St_Rev @DanielPryorr
...is actually strongly localized. The part where you spin out your local beliefs to $300 billion impact is a mistake.
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Replying to @St_Rev @DanielPryorr
(This is a very tentative argument based on things I probably will never write, so don't assign it much weight.)
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Replying to @St_Rev
Bookmarked epistemology series for the morning, thanks. Hopefully you write this up eventually - would love a good anti-vote piece.
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Replying to @DanielPryorr
This is decent on the subject:http://www.slate.com/articles/arts/everyday_economics/2004/09/dont_vote.html …
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Replying to @St_Rev @DanielPryorr
Doesn't come at the problem from my angle but comes to similar conclusions.
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(I only wrote one post in the series I linked above. Haven't been able to write longform in a couple of years.)
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. Banned in Sweden. SubGenius, Zhuangist, white-hat troll. Defrocked mathematician. Brain problems.