...and IF you can honestly estimate the value of your vote as net positive (you can't)...
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...you still have to divide the outcome differential by # voters. Otherwise you have (eg) 5 x 10^7 ppl each generating $3 x 10^11 in value.
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IOW, Scott, 1/60 million chance x $300 billion value/50 million ppl = 1/100th of a cent in expected value. ~1/10 only counting bg states.
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In some metaphysical credit-assignment procedure maybe you're only worth 1K, but in reality entire 10K hinges on your decision (4/4)
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I think there's something wrong with the model, but I don't think my previous objection was valid.
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Are you no longer shadowbanned? I can follow this thread just fine. Or maybe I'm misunderstanding?
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It was a 24 hour ban, from 11 pm EST on Friday to 11 pm EST on Saturday.
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It seems true both that you determine whether charity gets (the entire) 10K or not, and that you only made 1/10 contribution (3/X)
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Imagine a game with ten players and $10K pot. Iff all players vote yes, pot will be given to charity. (1/X)
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Suppose the nine other players are going to vote yes. If you vote yes, charity gets 10K; if you vote no, they don't. (2/X)
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. Banned in Sweden. SubGenius, Zhuangist, white-hat troll. Defrocked mathematician. Brain problems.