@St_Rev What's your drive-by take on this?https://twitter.com/sapinker/status/682361866321002496 …
-
-
Replying to @NineBandedBooks
@NineBandedBooks Taleb's an asshole but knows his stuff. Tail risk is real & (probably) getting worse.1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @St_Rev
@NineBandedBooks Counterpoint about declining murder rates also seems legit. Can't say more w/o careful study.2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @NineBandedBooks
@NineBandedBooks The tail argument is, roughly, about the dogs that didn't bark. What were the odds on global thermonuclear war in 20C?1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
@NineBandedBooks 10%? Then that's 300-600 million phantom deaths that didn't happen but should be part of the risk equation.
6:33 PM - 3 Jan 2016
0 replies
0 retweets
1 like
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.
. Banned in Sweden. SubGenius, Zhuangist, white-hat troll. Defrocked mathematician. Brain problems.