@okayultra also consider the hidden but estimatable telescoping risk of a nuke: 0.1% of 100k? 0.01% of 1m?
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@okayultra "It's fat-tailed" is a much weaker hypothesis than specific numbers--it's a qualitative claim. - 8 more replies
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. Banned in Sweden. SubGenius, Zhuangist, white-hat troll. Defrocked mathematician. Brain problems.