8) To construct a probability distribution on outcomes, you have to *know the space of outcomes*. You can have guesses about the space...
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Replying to @St_Rev
...but that's back to epicycles. You can throw a probability on known outcomes X and assign 1-X to "something else" but that recurses...
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Replying to @St_Rev
..."What do you think the "something else" consists of?" Epicycles again. Refusing to get drawn into the matter is a valid response.
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Replying to @St_Rev
(one in a series of objections to http://srconstantin.wordpress.com/2014/10/16/uncertainty-and-confidence/ … which I should but probably won't assemble into a post)
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Replying to @St_Rev
(Sarah C. is far smarter than me so my objections are probably wrong but)
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Replying to @St_Rev
(Sarah P. is also far smarter than me if you were wondering)
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@sarahdoingthing In case people thought I was distinguishing Sarah C. as a dis
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. Banned in Sweden. SubGenius, Zhuangist, white-hat troll. Defrocked mathematician. Brain problems.