8) To construct a probability distribution on outcomes, you have to *know the space of outcomes*. You can have guesses about the space...
@CoreXXIII He has the first half of a very important discussion of this on LW in fact: http://lesswrong.com/user/David_Chapman/submitted/ … unfortunately not finished.
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@CoreXXIII But he helped clarify a lot of my own understanding of the issues. -
@St_Rev Still doesn't fix the other half. General purpose critical thinking is *really* hard. The vast majority of techniques proposed fail. -
@CoreXXIII Yeah. General purpose critical thinking is as difficult as, well, everything humans do put together. -
@CoreXXIII You can accumulate useful tools and heuristics. You cannot give a general solution unless you're the universe. -
@St_Rev I mean that tools consistently fail when applied in GP manner. -
@St_Rev Even when the same tool is used in two fields people from one field fail to apply properly it in the second.
End of conversation
New conversation -
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. Banned in Sweden. SubGenius, Zhuangist, white-hat troll. Defrocked mathematician. Brain problems.