@themattsimpson @GrumplessGrinch So...probability doesn't tell you anything useful about positive validation of theories. Like I said.
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@St_Rev erf... not my field of expertise, so I'm likely to open my mouth and prove to be a fool where susp before : http://pastebin.com/N0SH4N36 -
@gattsuru In the context of bleggs and rubes: this is the induction problem. The sun needn't rise in the morning--indeed, one day it won't. -
@St_Rev Where you have access to deeper knowledge, Bayesian analysis isn't the best option, but when not possible, it's certainly predictive -
@gattsuru ...then "probability describes X" is false. It really is that simple. -
@St_Rev Is my disconnect here related to a fundamental flaw in idea of calculable confidence levels in a theory? -
@gattsuru Inasmuch as you (and everyone) think probabilistic logic applies to them, yes. -
@St_Rev Is there a better expert to read on this topic than Hume or Taleb? I'm not sure if I'm missing the problem, or missing the terms. -
@gattsuru Please don't take this the wrong way, but did you see the previous seven tweets? - 9 more replies
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. Banned in Sweden. SubGenius, Zhuangist, white-hat troll. Defrocked mathematician. Brain problems.