Then the average prediction is 14.5%, which is three times the real probability, hurr hurr hurr stupid plebs. Except 9 of 10 were correct.
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@St_Rev@simplic10 it shouldn't really be surprising that non experts are less good at prediction than experts -
@Johnwbh@simplic10 Generally experts are less good at prediction than coin flips or dartboards.
End of conversation
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. Banned in Sweden. SubGenius, Zhuangist, white-hat troll. Defrocked mathematician. Brain problems.