That’s way more work than I want to put into that project...
@Meaningness It might be worth it to focus on precisely why the axiomatic formulation is needed and why it breaks down, with examples.
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@St_Rev Not sure I follow? What is the form of breakdown you mean here? -
@Meaningness Which relates to Rumsfeld's 'unknown unknowns' and Taleb's 'ludic fallacy'. -
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@St_Rev Right, that’s the same critique I would make. For *any* statistical approach to apply, you have to *already* understand situation. -
@Meaningness So it might be worth explicitly going to the root, the base axioms, and saying 'but look, you can't *do* this. for example...' -
@St_Rev Well, you can choose any axioms you like? The problems come when you try to apply math to the real world. -
@Meaningness ...epistemological mistakes have destroyed trillions of dollars of wealth. Something similar going on here that needs debunking -
@St_Rev Except that pop Bayesianism isn’t very popular. It infects only a few hundred geeks, who mostly seem to no-ops due to akrasia anyway -
@Meaningness And that's a small group compared to the number who lost wealth because of them. Put another way: if not these guys, who? - 6 more replies
New conversation -
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. Banned in Sweden. SubGenius, Zhuangist, white-hat troll. Defrocked mathematician. Brain problems.