@St_Rev @semiotechnic My point is you can "sandwich" P(RedSoxVic) between two classic lottery probabilities... odd to say incommensurate.
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Replying to @simplic10
@simplic10@semiotechnic I distinguished earlier between ordinal and cardinal likelihood. Compare to utility theory. To say u(X) > u(Y)...1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @St_Rev
@St_Rev@semiotechnic What I find odd is that you are willing to say "a > X > b" but also "X is a completely different thing from a & c."3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @simplic10
@simplic10@semiotechnic Or, 'the sky is a weasel' < 'the sky is indigo' < 'the sky is blue' < 'the sky is not a weasel'.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @St_Rev
@St_Rev@semiotechnic@Meaningness All of these sound like category errors to me.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @simplic10
@simplic10@St_Rev@semiotechnic That's kind of the point, isn't it? Some uncertainty can usefully be represented numerically, some can't.5 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @Meaningness
@Meaningness@simplic10@semiotechnic ...nevertheless 'the sky is indigo' isn't entirely false. But 'the sky is blue' is *more true*.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @St_Rev
@St_Rev@Meaningness@semiotechnic These seem like fairly tractable definitional problems. Define blue as such&such wavelength distrib...1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @simplic10
@simplic10@Meaningness@semiotechnic Cyan = blue y/n8 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @St_Rev
@St_Rev@simplic10@Meaningness@semiotechnic ...whether a thing is true or false, we can use probabilities to reason about uncertainty2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
@tipsfromkatee @simplic10 @Meaningness @semiotechnic It's the difference btw known unknowns (probability) & unknown unknowns (epistemology)
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. Banned in Sweden. SubGenius, Zhuangist, white-hat troll. Defrocked mathematician. Brain problems.