@St_Rev @semiotechnic P(Red Sox Victory) is BOTH non-quantifiable AND has prob greater than 1/20M?
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@St_Rev@simplic10@Meaningness@semiotechnic ...whether a thing is true or false, we can use probabilities to reason about uncertainty -
@tipsfromkatee@simplic10@Meaningness@semiotechnic But if you can do probability theory, you already know a ton about a system. -
@St_Rev@simplic10@Meaningness@semiotechnic true if you mean "do probability theory explicitly", not "hold it up as a normative standard" -
@tipsfromkatee@St_Rev@simplic10@semiotechnic After that, Bayes is trivial arithmetic. -
@Meaningness@tipsfromkatee@simplic10@semiotechnic More generally, building your decision theory in the image of a universe of oracles...
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@St_Rev@simplic10@Meaningness@semiotechnic what's wrong with saying "in one sense yes in another sense no" -
@tipsfromkatee@simplic10@Meaningness@semiotechnic In one sense that works, in another sense it doesn't.
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@St_Rev@simplic10@Meaningness@semiotechnic then you can use probability theory for uncertainty about which sense the speaker means -
@tipsfromkatee@simplic10@Meaningness@semiotechnic In one sense no, in another sense also no.
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@St_Rev@simplic10@Meaningness@semiotechnic ...use decision theory to reason about the importance of different possible interpretations
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@St_Rev@simplic10@Meaningness@semiotechnic and if the speaker doesn't mean anything definite...Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@St_Rev@simplic10@Meaningness@semiotechnic i don't think the lesswrong programme is committed to the idea that there's a canonical way...Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@St_Rev@simplic10@Meaningness@semiotechnic to assign degrees of truth to statements like "cyan is blue"Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@St_Rev@simplic10@Meaningness@semiotechnic it just says that *to the extent* that things can be either true or false and we don't know...Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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. Banned in Sweden. SubGenius, Zhuangist, white-hat troll. Defrocked mathematician. Brain problems.