@St_Rev @semiotechnic >... if you choose Red Sox, seems to imply you think Red Sox victory has prob > 1/20 M.
@Meaningness @simplic10 @semiotechnic ...nevertheless 'the sky is indigo' isn't entirely false. But 'the sky is blue' is *more true*.
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@St_Rev@Meaningness@semiotechnic These seem like fairly tractable definitional problems. Define blue as such&such wavelength distrib... -
@simplic10@Meaningness@semiotechnic Cyan = blue y/n -
@St_Rev@simplic10@Meaningness@semiotechnic ...whether a thing is true or false, we can use probabilities to reason about uncertainty -
@tipsfromkatee@simplic10@Meaningness@semiotechnic But if you can do probability theory, you already know a ton about a system. -
@St_Rev@simplic10@Meaningness@semiotechnic true if you mean "do probability theory explicitly", not "hold it up as a normative standard" -
@tipsfromkatee@St_Rev@simplic10@semiotechnic After that, Bayes is trivial arithmetic. -
@Meaningness@tipsfromkatee@simplic10@semiotechnic More generally, building your decision theory in the image of a universe of oracles...
End of conversation
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. Banned in Sweden. SubGenius, Zhuangist, white-hat troll. Defrocked mathematician. Brain problems.