Is no one in the LW cluster applying basic portfolio theory to their charity theory? LW consensus seems appallingly naive.
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Replying to @admittedlyhuman
@admittedlyhuman ...whose utility you're trying to maximize. There are a TON of insights from portfolio theory that seem applicable.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @admittedlyhuman
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@admittedlyhuman@muflax If nothing else (& there are other reasons) embarassment-risk-aversion from your charity turning out to be a scam.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @St_Rev1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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Replying to @admittedlyhuman
@admittedlyhuman@st_rev@muflax I don't think so? I'd be pretty embarrassed if siai turned out to be a scam but not proportionately more?5 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @drethelin
@drethelin@admittedlyhuman@muflax ...risk over time (changes in environment) seem to me exactly parallel.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @St_Rev
@St_Rev@drethelin@muflax well, uh, they sure don't seem that way to me, so maybe you should elaborate/formalize your intuition?3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
@admittedlyhuman @drethelin @muflax Short version: you don't know any more about the actual effectiveness of a charity than you know...
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. Banned in Sweden. SubGenius, Zhuangist, white-hat troll. Defrocked mathematician. Brain problems.