Interesting piece. Too bad @kittypurrzog uses the fake "2 to 10 percent" false accusation statshttps://www.thestranger.com/slog/2018/10/09/33615110/anonymous-uw-students-publish-rape-accusations-online-what-could-go-wrong …
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Replying to @jaspergregory @kittypurrzog
I read the source study. The data said 2 to 41 percent, the authors turned that into 2 to 11 percent without justification, people read those numbers as 2 to 10, which became 2 to 8, which became 2.
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Replying to @St_Rev @kittypurrzog
The lower end of the scale was not even based on data, just some source who made guess
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There's so much noise built into the data that it's essentially impossible to come to a neutral figure, or even range.
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Replying to @TheClarksTale @jaspergregory
Yeah, it's a dark number. But to get 2%, you basically have to assume every report not explicitly deemed false, is true.
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...and then cherry-pick the rock-bottom lowest figure in the literature.
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There was an interesting natural study a few years back where someone found a ton of ancient DNA kits and re-ran them with modern technology, found the false conviction rate for murder (among the cases studied) was at least 15%, possibly as high as 40% (many rescans failed).
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. Banned in Sweden. SubGenius, Zhuangist, white-hat troll. Defrocked mathematician. Brain problems.