Replying to @sonyasupposedly @sonyaellenmann
The trick here is to replace your intuition 'these probabilities should be similar' with the intuition 'oh this is a Bayes-style problem and I should suspend judgement until I check the numbers'.
12:51 PM - 13 Aug 2018
0 replies
0 retweets
4 likes
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.
. Banned in Sweden. SubGenius, Zhuangist, white-hat troll. Defrocked mathematician. Brain problems.