Good fact-check -- in the Washington Post! -- about that paper on Puerto Rico hurricane deaths. Rev was right again! https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/fact-checker/wp/2018/06/02/did-4645-people-die-in-hurricane-maria-nope/ …
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The point is, though, that simply scaling up is Problematic, in the correct sense of the word. It's not really that much information at all, which is why the confidence interval is so wide. There are a bunch of other studies that estimated around 1000 extra deaths.
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Given that, and the iffiness of this estimate, the smart money is on something like 'probably in the 1,000-1,500 range, and this sample was mostly a fluke'.
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But newspapers thrive on scary nonsense, so they're going to jettison the consensus in favor of the biggest number.
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Also note: "three died directly from medical complications, illness or trauma because of the hurricane, and 12 died because of the interruption of medical services in the aftermath". Some/a lot of those people were probably near death already. Maybe this moved it up a few months.
End of conversation
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. Banned in Sweden. SubGenius, Zhuangist, white-hat troll. Defrocked mathematician. Brain problems.