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SimonPearceLive's profile
Simon Pearce
Simon Pearce
Simon Pearce
@SimonPearceLive

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Simon Pearce

@SimonPearceLive

Founder & chief cat-herder @emotif_us - experience-centric brand design company. Techno-optimist; photographer; PG Tips aficionado.

NYC
emotif.us
Joined January 2009

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    1. Gary Basin‏ @garybasin Apr 4
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      I notice I'm confused. I think there's a greater than 1% chance that we see complete societal meltdown in the next year. I also notice I'm not taking drastic action to prepare.

      28 replies 11 retweets 131 likes
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    2. Simon Pearce‏ @SimonPearceLive Apr 5
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      Replying to @garybasin

      Calm down. The UK government thought the chance of societal meltdown was higher than 50% when the Germans started bombing civilians in cities in 1940. Nothing of the sort happened. Everybody just dealt with it. This is painful but manageable.

      2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
    3. Michael Keenan‏ @michaelkeenan_0 Apr 5
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      Replying to @SimonPearceLive @garybasin

      Is that a fully general argument against societal meltdowns? Because societies do sometimes collapse. Pointing out one time a society didn't collapse doesn't seem like strong evidence that it won't happen a different time.

      1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
    4. Simon Pearce‏ @SimonPearceLive Apr 5
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      Replying to @michaelkeenan_0 @garybasin

      I’m pointing out that there’s a bias that happens at times of upheaval. Even leaders with solid data under estimate general social resiliency, quite significantly. The level of social discipline during the Blitz astounded leaders at the time. They did not expect it.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Gary Basin‏ @garybasin Apr 5
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      Replying to @SimonPearceLive @michaelkeenan_0

      Agreed. Wondering if this situation is worse. There are those that have the means to hole up and be fine. That's not the case when the Nazis are coming

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      Simon Pearce‏ @SimonPearceLive Apr 5
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      Replying to @garybasin @michaelkeenan_0

      Also many people holed up during the Blitz. The rich went to Canada and the US. Kids were evacuated to the country. Essential workers stayed in London. Very similar. (The King rejected Canada evacuation plan and stayed in London).

      9:58 AM - 5 Apr 2020
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      • Gary Basin
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