I've also been looking at the resolved cases rates. A case resolves definitively when the patient makes a full recovery or dies. The death rate using only those numbers is 9% as of today. This is probably due to ICUs being overloaded and unable to provide breathing support.
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Replying to @SimonPearceLive @max_arbitrage
As of today at 5pm according to a reliable tracking aggregator I have been using. As more and more cases resolve, this number will get more stable. Obviously if we are under-counting mild cases the true number is lower than this, but we won't know that for a while.pic.twitter.com/TDGOh04vvv
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Replying to @max_arbitrage
There's a lot to unpack there and people like to say that we are under-testing and therefore overestimating CFR. However, if you look at Spanish Flu and Swine Flu as benchmarks the CFR's quoted during tended to underestimate the final CFR after the facthttps://www.wired.com/story/covid-19-is-nothing-like-the-spanish-flu/ …
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It's OK, I know this is a stressful time. I was trying to find where I said "people like to say" but could not find it in the thread, so I'm a little confused, but no matter. I'm not particularly interested in being right or wrong, I'm not pushing an agenda, just discussion.
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