Because he's polling at 9% nationally and it's gonna be 40% of the way through the calendar before he can really get any momentum and so the math just don't work to get a majority of delegates even in relatively optimistic scenarios for him.https://twitter.com/jonathanchait/status/1224844154200625153 …
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There certainly *is* a pretty decent chance (at least 20%) of a contested convention and those chances have increased in the past 48 hours. If you think Bloomberg would emerge out of a contested convention (not something our model forecasts), there's a case for optimism there.
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Replying to @NateSilver538
Isn't the point of Bloomberg's candidacy to earn delegates, then hand them to the most viable moderate at the convention?
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Replying to @britneysho @NateSilver538
Possibly. If that’s true it’s a lot of money he’s spending to not even aim to win
9:25 AM - 5 Feb 2020
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