You should make decisions when you are 70% certain. I have a whole backlog of 69.9% certain decisions queued up.
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Replying to @vgr
You should make decisions when the net expected payoff is positive when you have a normally distributed or positively skewed asymmetric option and the foreseeable tail risk is not catastrophic enough to ruin you.
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Replying to @vgr
Lol. Sorry. I know it was a smart Alec answer.
9:53 AM - 2 Dec 2018
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