3/ State polls were a bigger problem, but that’s more a function of missing data. Not enough polls lead to bad forecasts.
an equal numbers. They ranged from somewhat heavy on Dems to more than 50% heavy on Dems.
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Overall that’s consistent. Dems had about a 7% advantage on party ID last year. There's never been more self-identified Rs in recent years.
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But 50% more? I don't think so.
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You’d definitely want to look at other crosstabs on a poll like that before taking it too seriously.
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But you shouldn’t take any single poll too seriously when you can look at multiple polls together.
End of conversation
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