2/ The nat’l polling average missed the final vote by 2 points in 2016. That’s a perfectly normal election year.http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-fivethirtyeight-gave-trump-a-better-chance-than-almost-anyone-else/ …
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3/ State polls were a bigger problem, but that’s more a function of missing data. Not enough polls lead to bad forecasts.
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4/ As for your hypothetical about 95% Ds answering a question, there’s no way for that to happen as long as you’re getting a representative
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Replying to @aweiss @SharylAttkisson
I don't need data from liberals to tell me this either. I can assure you, they cannot poll the Trump voter.
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That’s fine, but this is a discussion about data, so if you don’t have any to contribute, go away.
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Replying to @aweiss @SharylAttkisson
No, I do not provide liberal data, not my business.
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The wonderful thing about data (and science in general) is that it’s not conservative or liberal. Analyses can be, but facts are facts.
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You are welcome to stay Mark!!! Let's be civil all. As for "science" Aaron, I have one more thing to offer... the words of a Harvard
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Replying to @SharylAttkisson @aweiss
I'm civil, upset at times, but not going to curse or anything. I can just tell you, nobody in my family has been polled EVER. Big family.
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I meant for Aaron to be civil! :) Don't tell people to go away! I had never been polled in my whole life until this last cycle and then
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