--or than the voter base? Probably why we were so wrong in campaign 2016.
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Replying to @SharylAttkisson @RayGuy3
1/?? The polls weren’t wrong in 2016. Many forecasts were off because they misinterpreted the polls.
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2/ The nat’l polling average missed the final vote by 2 points in 2016. That’s a perfectly normal election year.http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-fivethirtyeight-gave-trump-a-better-chance-than-almost-anyone-else/ …
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3/ State polls were a bigger problem, but that’s more a function of missing data. Not enough polls lead to bad forecasts.
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4/ As for your hypothetical about 95% Ds answering a question, there’s no way for that to happen as long as you’re getting a representative
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Replying to @aweiss @SharylAttkisson
I don't need data from liberals to tell me this either. I can assure you, they cannot poll the Trump voter.
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That’s fine, but this is a discussion about data, so if you don’t have any to contribute, go away.
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Replying to @aweiss @SharylAttkisson
No, I do not provide liberal data, not my business.
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The wonderful thing about data (and science in general) is that it’s not conservative or liberal. Analyses can be, but facts are facts.
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scientist who used to head the New England Journal of Medicine: nearly all published science today is "not to be believed"... (her opinion)
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