You're an insider who knows more. With HC up 10pp in poll that sampled 18.9% more Dems, is that good for her? @matthewjdowd Will turnout be
If the oversampling of D reflects the actual turnout it will be accurate...
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Were there ~19% greater Ds than Rs in last general election. Turnout in '16 will make difference
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I think last elex did have more D's. Not sure.
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nearly every presidential election has more ds. Last time plus six.
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Ds +Six last time per (~19% sample compared to Rs too much) http://ropercenter.cornell.edu/polls/us-elections/how-groups-voted/how-groups-voted-2012/ …
End of conversation
New conversation -
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RE: allegedly "skewed" polls/ "over-sampled" DEMs
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-arent-skewed-trump-really-is-losing-badly/ …
@OzzieDNelson@matthewjdowdThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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