Per a few of you who requested it. (From: my NYT bestseller The Smear). David Brock's network designed to appear as though lots of different grassroots groups and watchdogs share views and opinions--but it's the same group.pic.twitter.com/YPKJCAiGOo
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Rasmussen consistently leans right in its results for as far back as I can remember they're always an outlier and always in the same direction. Even party funded polls don't do that
Umm. We always had 2016 a close race, then followed the Popular Vote to predict Hillary would win the PV by 2%. 136,000,000+ actual votes later she won the PV by - 2.1%. And today we are weighted D+3. Hillary was the 2016 GOP candidate, right?
Umm, the national PV isn't relevant. What was your polling on the PV state by state?
Gallup, Rasmussen and most of the rest of the industry target the national Popular Vote. However in 2016, Gallup, Pew & Quinnipiac didn't even show up. That's sad.http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/commentary_by_ted_carroll/gallup_come_back_we_missed_you …
is there a synopsis of what D+3 entails relative to different geographies around the country?
No, Gypsy, it's a blend of all the exit poll inputs and all the demographic study inputs. It was however at D+4 for the 2016 presidential race where we nailed the Popular Bote margin.
You are right — you are no expert! It’s methodology is highly flawed, which is why it is an outlier!
The other ones tend to be more incorrect to real life results...so I question their methodologies. Just because they all use similar ones to get similar results, doesnt make them right. Polling is science. @Peoples_Pundit
My goodness, that was an ignorant response! You have a dozen polls with far more valid methods coming within 2-4 point of one another and one (Rasmussen) with flawed methods that is way off.
How do your favored polls compare to real life results?
Define your terms. What are “real life” results?
Wonder what happened in 2016? Were they just a tad bit off?
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