ShadowStats.com

@shadowstats

Analysis Behind and Beyond Government Economic Reporting

United States
shadowstats.com
Joined January 2011
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  1. Retweeted
    11 Feb 2015

    Lst wks . Usual BLS publishing glitch had huge effect: 423k Nov jobs really only 340k

    2 replies 28 retweets 11 likes
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  2. Retweeted
    22 Jul 2014

    Our Seasonal Adjustment trend analysis for Payroll Employment in advance of next week's BLS release. 232k more jobs.

    5 retweets 2 likes
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  3. Retweeted
    6 Jun 2014

    Payrolls regain pre-recession peak. But as a % of potential working popn and labor force:

    2 replies 28 retweets 6 likes
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  4. Retweeted
    7 Mar 2014

    New Heatmap feature for further exploring the Payrolls survey: Please take a look.

    6 retweets 2 likes
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  5. 13 Mar 2014

    Feb Retail Sales Rose by 0.27%, But that after 0.41% downward revision to Jan. On track for annzd 2.5% Q1 contraction, before Inflation Adj

    1 reply 6 retweets 3 likes
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  6. 7 Mar 2014

    John Williams currently analyzing all of today's numbers. Commentary due out later this afternoon. To include Explistats March "trend" num.

    2 retweets 1 like
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  7. Retweeted
    7 Mar 2014

    Payrolls up 175k - close to our trend model 183k "forecast" of Wed: . Insights on divergences coming soon.

    1 retweet
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  8. Retweeted
    28 Feb 2014

    GDP 2nd Est Q4 growth down to 2.4% from 3.2%. 26% drop. 27% gain last time. New data at

    7 retweets 2 likes
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  9. 28 Feb 2014

    Third-Quarter GDP Downside Revision Was Consistent with Same Reports Signaling a First-Quarter 2014 Contraction

    13 retweets
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  10. Retweeted
    19 Feb 2014

    Housing starts down year over year. January down across almost all regions More later.

    8 retweets
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  11. Retweeted
    12 Dec 2013

    Some (60+) new charts on Employment Ratio, Participation Rate & Unemployment Rate.

    15 retweets 10 likes
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  12. Retweeted
    12 Dec 2013

    Adv. Retail Sales up 7% in November. Half of growth in vehicle sales. Charts (62) updated:

    2 replies 1 retweet
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  13. 12 Dec 2013

    No Effort to Address Long-Range Solvency Issues of the US in Budget-Deficit Agreement

    3 retweets
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  14. 5 Dec 2013

    Chart showing boost to GDP from Inventories. From

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  15. 5 Dec 2013

    Involuntary Inventory Build-Up Spiked GDP Revision; Final Sales (GDP Less Inv. Change) Growth Revised to 1.9% from 2.0%.

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  16. Retweeted
    26 Nov 2013

    Housing Starts delayed again. Permits up strongly but it's all apts inSouth. Single-family auths flat in Sep/Oct.

    4 retweets
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  17. 26 Nov 2013

    Apologies for absence. Today's releases: Building Permits Showed No Recovery; Consumer Confidence Declined Again in November.

    1 retweet
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  18. 30 May 2012

    Second new public post reviews recent activity in withheld income and payroll tax receipts. Inline with expectations.

    4 replies 11 retweets 6 likes
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  19. 30 May 2012

    Two new public pieces just posted. First on Payroll numbers: "Trend Extrapolations" for Friday's BLS report.

    3 retweets 1 like
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  20. 23 May 2012

    New article on inflation measurement methodology changes. Updates our "primer" on the subject. http://t.co/69GueBIT?p=754

    9 retweets 1 like
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