plus Haiti, Peru, Netherlands, Indonesia....https://twitter.com/BrankoMilan/status/1188580419203141638 …
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plus autocrats are not dumb; they adapt. The smart ones will co-opt, the less smart ones will repress. All will blame foreign influences. All learn from their "peers" about what works and what doesn't.
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we saw this in Arab Spring, for example. That's why it's more useful to think of the diffusion of protest as a two-way street, the interaction of self-reinforcing and self-dampening dynamics: https://individual.utoronto.ca/seva/complexity_IR.pdf …pic.twitter.com/tecmETumDz
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we *definitely* saw this process in Africa after 1991. Elite adaptation was a key cause for the rollback of democratic gains after the Soviet collapse. I suspect the same holds true for what's going on today.pic.twitter.com/C19uv9IoAq
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